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Luan Shenghua
Professor
Tel:  86-10-64850930
Fax:  
Mailing Address:  16 Lincui Road, Chaoyang District, Beijing 100101, China.
Email:  luansh@psych.ac.cn
Website:  http://www.raumlab.cn
Resume:

Brief Biography

Shenghua Luan is the principal investigator of the Risk and Uncertainty Management (RAUM) lab. Before joining the Chinese Academy of Sciences (CAS), he used to work at the Singapore Management University in Singapore and the Max Planck Institute for Human Development in Germany for many years. Shenghua has a wide range of interests in judgment and decision-making research, including decision models and heuristics, group decision processes, organizational and managerial decision making, human cooperative behavior, risk communications, sports and business forecasting, and human behavior in digitelligence society. In his research, Shenghua combines descriptive approaches (i.e., how do people make decisions?) with prescriptive ones (i.e., how can we help people improve their decisions?), and applies a variety of methods for investigation (e.g., human experiments, cognitive modeling, computer simulations, and analysis of archival data). Findings of Shenghua’s research have been published in top-tier journals, including Psychological Review, American Psychologist, Academy of Management Journal, Annual Review of Organizational Psychology and Organizational Behavior, Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, and Journal of Behavioral Decision Making. 

 

Education

Ph.D., Cognitive Psychology         University of Florida, August 2004    

B.A., Psychology                            Peking University, China, July 1999

   

 

Academic Appointments

From 2018.06: Professor and Principal Investigator 

Institute of Psychology, Chinese Academy of Sciences

From 2017.10: Associate Researcher

Harding Center for Risk Literacy

Center for Adaptive Rationality, Max Planck Institute for Human Development

2017.10 – 2018.05: Associate Professor (with tenure) 

     Department of Psychology, Tsinghua University

2011.07 – 2017.09: Research Scientist & Senior Research Scientist 

Center for Adaptive Behavior and Cognition, Max Planck Institute for Human Development

2014.07 – 2017.09: Assistant Director 

Center for Adaptive Behavior and Cognition, Max Planck Institute for Human Development 

2006.07 – 2011.06: Assistant Professor 

   School of Social Sciences, Singapore Management University

2004.09 – 2006.06: Postdoctoral Fellow 

 Center for Adaptive Behavior and Cognition, Max Planck Institute for Human Development 

 
Research Interests:

Decision theories and models

Group decision processes and the wisdom of crowds

Organizational and managerial decision making

Cooperation and human cooperative behavior 

Sports and business forecasting

Risk literacy and communications 

Human behavior in digitelligence society
Community service:
 
Achievements:
 
Selected Publications:
  1. Reb, J., Luan, S., & Gigerenzer, G. (forthcoming). Smart management: How simple heuristics help leaders make good decisions in a complex world. MIT Press.
  2. Fang, J., Schooler, L. J., & Luan, S. (in press). Machine learning strategy identification: A paradigm to uncover decision strategies with high fidelity. Behavior Research Methods. https://doi.org/10.3758/s13428-022-01828-1
  3. Gigerenzer, G., Reb, J., & Luan, S. (2022).Smart heuristics for individuals, teams, and organizations. Annual Review of Organizational Psychology and Organizational Behavior, 9, 171–198.
  4. Li, Y., Luan, S.*, Li, Y., Wu, J., Li., W., & Hertwig, R. (2022). Does risk perception motivate preventive behavior during a pandemic: A longitudinal study in the United States and China. American Psychologist, 77, 111–123.
  5. Wu, J., Luan, S., & Raihani, N. (2022).Reward, punishment, and prosocial behavior: Recent developments and implications. Current Opinion in Psychology, 44, 117–123.
  6. Huang, Y., Wu, B., & Luan, S.* (2022). The measurements of impulsivity. Chinese Journal of Applied Psychology, 28, 59–72.
  7. Li, Y., Luan, S.*, Li, Y., & Hertwig, R. (2021). Changing emotions in the time of COVID-19 pandemic: A four-wave longitudinal study in the United States and China. Social Science & Medicine, 285, 114222.
  8. Luan, S.*, Huang, Y., Yang, Y., & McDowell, M. (2021). Public knowledge of stroke and heart attack symptoms in China: A cross-sectional survey. BMJ Open, 11, e043220.
  9. Li, S., Li, J., Yang, S., Wu, J., Chen, J., Ding, Y., Lin, Y., Bai, X.*, Luan, S.*, & Zheng, R.* (2020). The psychological typhoon eye effect in responses to terrorism. Journal of Pacific Rim Psychology, 14, e21.
  10. Luan, S.*, Schooler, L. J., & Tan, J. H. (2020).Improving judgment accuracy by sequential adjustment. Psychonomic Bulletin and Review, 27, 170–177.
  11. Schoop, A., Verweij, M., Kuhnen, U., & Luan, S. (2020). Political disagreement in the classroom: Testing cultural theory with observational methods. Quality and Quantity, 54, 623–643.
  12. Luan, S.*, Reb, J.*, & Gigerenzer, G. (2019).Ecological rationality: Fast-and-frugal heuristics for managerial decision making under uncertainty. Academy of Management Journal, 62, 1735–1759.
  13. Gigerenzer, G., Luan, S.*, & Liu, Y. (2019). Are we truly irrational and almost impossible to educate? Analyzing the scientific evidence behind libertine paternalism. Acta Psychologica Sinica, 51, 395–406.
  14. Ruggeri, A., Luan, S., Keller, M., & Gummerum, M. (2018).The influence of adult and peer role models on children’s and adolescents’ sharing decisions. Child Development, 89, 1589–1598.
  15. Luan, S.*, & Reb, J. (2017).Fast-and-frugal trees as process models of performance-based personnel decisions. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 141, 29–42.
  16. Tan, J. H., Luan, S., & Katsikopoulos, K. V. (2017). A signal-detection approach to modeling forgiveness decisions. Evolution and Human Behavior, 38, 21–38.  
  17. Hozo, I., Djulbegovic, B., Luan, S., Tsalatsanis, A., Gigerenzer, G. (2017). Towards theory integration: Threshold model as a link between signal detection theory, fast-and-frugal trees, and evidence accumulation theory. Journal of Evaluation in Clinical Practice, 23, 49–65.
  18. Luan, S.*, Schooler, L. J., & Gigerenzer, G. (2014). From perception to preference and on to inference: An approach-avoidance analysis of thresholds. Psychological Review, 121, 501–525.
  19. Verweij, M., van Egmond, M., Kuhnen, U., Luan, S., Ney, S., & Schoop, A. (2014). I disagree, therefore I am: How to test and strengthen cultural versatility. Innovation: the European Journal of Social Science Research, 27, 83–98.
  20. Reb, J., Greguras, G., Luan, S., & Daniels, M. (2013). Making performance judgments. In Highhouse, S., Dalal, R. S., & Salas, E. (Eds.), Judgment and decision making at work (pp. 13-36). New York: Routledge.
  21. Luan, S., Katsikopoulos, K. V., & Reimer, T. (2012). The “less-is-more” effects of group decision making. In Hertwig, R., Hoffrage, U., & the ABC Research Group (Eds.), Simple heuristics in a social world (pp. 293-318). New York: Oxford University Press.
  22. Luan S.*, Katsikopoulos K. V., & Reimer, T. (2012) When does diversity trump ability (and vice versa) in group decision making? A simulation study. PLoS ONE, 7,e31043.
  23. Verweij, M., Luan, S., & Nowacki, M. (2011). How to test cultural theory: Suggestions for future research. PS: Political Science and Politics, 44, 745–748.
  24. Luan, S.*, Schooler, L. J., & Gigerenzer, G. (2011). A signal detection analysis of fast-and-frugal trees. Psychological Review, 118, 316–338.
  25. Luan, S., Sorkin, R. D., & Itzkowitz, J. (2004). Weighting information from outside sources: A biased process. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 17, 95-116.
Grants: